외교안보연구소 발간자료

Emergence of the Islamic State: Implications and Future Prospects

Emergence of the Islamic State: Implications and Future Prospects

Emergence of the Islamic State: Implications and Future Prospects

이라크

이란

대한민국

시리아

미국

[IFANS Brief 2014-26]


Emergence of the Islamic State: Implications and Future Prospects

- IN Nam-sik


1. Emergence of the IS: 

1-1. Introduction

1-2. Background

1-2-1. Circumstantial Factors: Syrian Civil War and Growing Sectarian Conflicts in Iraq

1-2-2. Actor-specific Factors: Unpredictable Fate and Changing Nature of Islamic Groups

1-2-3. Structural Factors: Reverberations of the Arab Spring

1-3-2. United for the Establishment and Expansion of an Islamic Theocratic Caliphate

1-3-3. Extreme Takfirism

1-3-4. Maintaining Three Separate War Fronts: Raqqa, Mosul, and Baghdad

1-3-5. Extending the Lone Wolf Network along the Islamic Front

1-3-6. Propaganda by Means of Guerilla and Psychological Warfare and the New Media


2. Implications of the IS for International Politics and Future Prospects

2-1. U.S. Response: Reinforcing International Cooperation and Re-pacing the Asia Pivot Policy

2-2. Changing the Internal and External Dynamics in the Middle East

2-2-1. Increasing Skepticism of the Sykes-Picot Arrangement

2-2-2. Watershed Moment in the Arab Spring: From Anti-dictatorship to Anti-terrorism 

2-2-3. Reformulation of Partnerships and Nuclear Negotiations with Iran

2-3. Terrorism 4.0: The Changing Face of Islamic Terrorism 


3. Considerations 

3-1. Mounting Need to Update Plans for Protecting Koreans in Terror-prone Regions

3-2. Reinforcing Korea's Counter-terrorism Capability through New Laws

3-3. Active Support and Aid for Refugees in Iraq and Syria

3-4. Making Active Contributions to International Counter-terrorism Efforts as a Responsible Middle Country

바그다드

락까

모술

기타

아시아

사이크스·피코 협정

시리아 내전

아랍의 봄

Asia Pivot Policy

Caliphate

IS

Islamic State

Takfirism

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인남식 유럽아프리카연구부 부교수

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2014-26

KOR