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Prospects for 2012 International Relations
January 09, 2011
BAE Geung-Chan
Dean of Research
1. Global Outlook for 2012
1.1 2012, a Year of Political Change
1.2 Instability of the Global Political
Process and the Crisis of Global
Governance
1.3 The Uncertainties Increase on the
Korean Peninsula
1.4 Finding a New Balance between
China-U.S. Relations
1.5 The Growing Political and
Economic Importance of Asia
Pacific Region
1.6 The Continuing Eurozone Crisis
and Global Economic Slowdown
1.7 The Arab Spring and Continuing
Instability in the Middle East
2. The Korean Peninsula
2.1 Stagnation in Inter-Korea Relations
amid Rising Uncertainties
2.2 Seeking a Gradual Expansion of
Inter-Korea Economic Cooperation
2.3 The Possibility of Provocation
amid North Korea’s Efforts to
Stabilize the Regime
2.4 Politics First, Then Comes a
plan to Talks to the U.S. and
Exclude South Korea
2.5 Resuming the Six-Party Talks
and the Possibility of the 3rd
Nuclear Test
3. The Situation in Northeast Asia
3.1 Security Competition Intensifies
while East Asia Regional Power
Structure Stabilizes
3.2 The Chance of President Obama
Getting Re-elected and Active
Pursuit of Foreign Trade Policy
3.3 Emergence of the 5th Generation
Leadership and Moves to Build
Stable Environment
3.4 Reorganization of the Japanese
Government: Conservative Foreign
Policy
3.5 Putin Comes Back to Power
4. Regional Trends of Key Nations
4.1 Searching a Place for ASEAN in
amid the Competition between
Key Powers
4.2 Europe’s Financial Crisis and a Test
for European Integration
4.3 The Start of Democracy Movement
5. Major Issues of Global Governance
5.1 Seeking New Forms of Global
Governance
5.3 Major Economies seek for FTAs
with the Stalled WTO/DDA
Negotiations
5.4 The Kyoto Protocol Extension
and the Emergence of the
Durban Platform
5.5 Move to Strengthen Nuclear
Nonproliferation and Nuclear
Security
in the Middle East and Uncertain
Future
4.4 The Rise of India and Regional
Instability in Southeast Asia
5. Major Issues of Global Governance
5.1 Seeking New Forms of Global
Governance
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