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Prospects for International Relations 2009*
January 8, 2009
BAE Geung Chan
Dean of Research
I. Launch of Obama
Administration and Changes
in Great-Power Relations *
Tenet of US Foreign Policy
Relations among Major States
Toward a New Financial Order
After the Crisis
Increasing Calls for the Establishment
of a “New Bretton Woods System”
G-8 Expansion and Realignment
Discussion Gains Momentum
Increased Efforts for
Regional Financial Cooperation
II. Global Efforts to Build
the Potential for
Green Growth
Intensified Rivalry over Leadership
in Climate Change Negotiations
Persisting Instability of
Energy Supply and Demand;
Possibility of Strategic Confrontation
Revealed
III. Korea-US Relations as
a Global Strategic Alliance
of the 21st Century
2009: Starting Year for Building
a 21st-Century Strategic Alliance
Hope for the Crystallization of
a Global Alliance through Action
Increased Need for
Korea-US Coordination of Positions
IV. North Korean Regime,
Inter-Korean Relations, and
North Korean Nuclear Issue
Enduring Instability of
the North Korean Regime and
Aggravated Economic Difficulties
North Korea: “By Our Nation”
on the One Hand, Tongmibongnam∗∗
Strategy on the Other
US Quest for “Tough and Direct”
Diplomacy to Resolve North Korean
Nuclear Issue
Pyongyang: Watching Obama
Administration’s course of
North Korea Policy
V. Accelerated Regional
Integration and Improved
Management of International
Conflict
Positive Search for
East Asian Regional Cooperation
in Face of Global Financial Crisis
EU’s Integration Efforts Reveal Limits;
Pursuit of Global Strategy Based on
Security Cooperation
US Shift to
Comprehensive Latin America Policy
and Integration of Latin America
Middle East Elections and
the Advent of New Leaderships to
Signal Changes in Political Landscape
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