외교안보연구소 발간자료

Prospects for International Relations in 2008

Prospects for International Relations in 2008

Prospects for International Relations in 2008

호주

프랑스

일본

대한민국

러시아

미국

Prospects for International Relations in 2008
Lee Seo-hang*
Dean of Research
Ⅰ. International Politics
Changes in Global Security Environment and
Power Dynamics
New Security Environment Following Regime Transitions in
Major Countries
Since the latter half of 2007 and over the course of 2008,
the world’s key major powers, such as France, Japan,
Australia, Russia, and the United States, have already
experienced or are expected to undergo regime transitions or
government changes domestically. Consequently, this year’s
international situation is likely to be underscored by a new
security environment deriving from changes in the major
powers’ foreign policies. In fact, in the ROK, a new
government made up of conservative camps will be
inaugurated in February 2008. France elected a right-wing government headed by President Nicolas Sarkozy in May 2007. In Japan, the
Fukuda Cabinet won power in September 2007; in Australia, Kevin Rudd, leader
the Australian Labor Party, took power as the prime minister in December 2007.
The presidential elections in Russia and the United States in March and November
2008, respectively, will possibly result in a government change or a regime
transition. Inasmuch as these domestic political changes in the world’s key major
powers could herald fundamental changes in their foreign policies, the world is
likely to experience a security environment which is different from that of
previous years.∗

IFANS Forecast

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케빈 러드

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기획조사과

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ENG